Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHL
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1967 |
CHL
4 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
SHW
6 - 1
CHL
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
ASV
3 - 2
BPO
59%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
ASV
0 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1966 |
ASV
2 - 1
SUN
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
NEW
0 - 3
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |