Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
NTT
3 - 0
CHL
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1961 |
CHL
1 - 2
BUR
39%
22%
40%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1961 |
IPS
5 - 2
CHL
57%
20%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1961 |
CHL
4 - 1
WBA
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 2
CHL
57%
20%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1961 |
ASV
3 - 0
IPS
56%
20%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1961 |
LEI
0 - 2
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1961 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
BOL
1 - 1
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |