Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
CHL
1 - 0
SHW
61%
18%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
PNE
5 - 2
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
CHL
6 - 1
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
WBA
1 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 3
CHL
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 1
ASV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
ARS
4 - 0
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
5 - 1
LEI
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 3
WOL
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
BPO
1 - 1
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |