Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1953 |
CHL
0 - 2
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
HUR
3 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1953 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 2
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1953 |
OPA
3 - 2
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1953 |
ASV
3 - 1
SUN
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
ASV
2 - 1
BPO
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1953 |
OPA
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1953 |
MAC
0 - 1
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1953 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |