Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
SHE
2 - 1
CHL
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
HUR
3 - 4
CHL
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
DER
2 - 1
CHL
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
PNE
0 - 1
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
ASV
3 - 1
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
STO
4 - 2
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
ASV
4 - 3
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |