Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
NEW
4 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 3
SHW
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1931 |
CHL
0 - 1
HUR
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1931 |
WHU
3 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1931 |
MID
0 - 2
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
ASV
7 - 0
GRI
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1931 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
44%
23%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1931 |
HUR
1 - 1
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1931 |
ASV
3 - 2
LEI
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1931 |
SHW
3 - 0
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |