Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHW
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 1
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1920 |
BBU
3 - 1
CHL
67%
18%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 2
BBU
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1920 |
BRA
3 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
BOL
2 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
TOT
0 - 1
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |