Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
CHL
0 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1914 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1914 |
PNE
3 - 3
CHL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
CHL
0 - 0
BUR
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
MUD
0 - 1
CHL
68%
18%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
SHW
2 - 3
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 0
WBA
78%
14%
9%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
EVE
1 - 4
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
ASV
5 - 0
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |