Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 3
EVE
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
WBA
0 - 1
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1913 |
BRA
2 - 2
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 0
NOT
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1913 |
DER
0 - 1
ASV
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
BRA
0 - 5
ASV
17%
21%
62%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 0
TOT
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1913 |
ASV
5 - 0
CRY
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |