Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1910 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHL
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
LIV
5 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
NOT
2 - 1
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
ASV
3 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 4
ASV
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 1
SHE
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
SHE
0 - 1
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 1
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |