Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
16%
21%
63%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHL
3 - 0
BUR
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 0
NTT
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BHA
1 - 1
CHL
14%
20%
66%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
39%
24%
37%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHE
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CRY
1 - 1
ARS
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 0
LEE
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 0
MUD
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |