Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 1
CHL
30%
27%
44%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
CHL
2 - 2
MUD
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 3
CHL
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
CHL
1 - 3
ASV
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
ARS
5 - 2
WBA
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
WHU
2 - 2
ARS
24%
26%
50%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 0
BIR
81%
12%
6%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
55%
22%
24%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
ARS
4 - 3
EVE
79%
14%
8%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |