Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1979 |
CHL
2 - 3
IPS
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHL
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
ARS
5 - 2
CHL
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 2
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1979 |
ARS
3 - 2
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
BIR
0 - 0
ARS
37%
27%
37%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
DER
2 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |