Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1937 |
OPA
2 - 4
CHL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1937 |
CHL
2 - 1
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1937 |
MID
4 - 3
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1937 |
CHL
1 - 0
GRI
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1937 |
CHL
2 - 0
BIR
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1937 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
56%
20%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1937 |
DER
2 - 0
ARS
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1937 |
ARS
4 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1937 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1937 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |