Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1934 |
BBU
1 - 2
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 3
WBA
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1934 |
LEE
5 - 2
CHL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1934 |
CHL
0 - 2
STO
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 1
CHL
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1934 |
ARS
1 - 2
ASV
68%
17%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
GRI
2 - 2
ARS
43%
24%
34%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1934 |
ARS
2 - 0
EVE
73%
15%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1934 |
SUN
2 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1934 |
ARS
5 - 1
TOT
76%
15%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |