Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 0
LEI
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1934 |
MAC
4 - 2
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 3
CHL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1934 |
CHL
4 - 0
OPA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1934 |
ARS
2 - 1
SUN
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1934 |
OPA
1 - 0
ARS
37%
25%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
LIV
2 - 3
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1934 |
ARS
3 - 1
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1934 |
DER
2 - 4
ARS
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |