Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
EVE
7 - 2
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 1
DER
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 0
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 2
BBU
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1931 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
ARS
4 - 1
WHU
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
NEW
3 - 2
ARS
44%
23%
33%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
LEI
1 - 2
ARS
50%
21%
29%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1931 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |