Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
LIV
3 - 1
CHL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 1
NTT
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 0
CHL
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
3 - 2
BUR
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1923 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
NOT
1 - 2
ARS
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
HUR
6 - 1
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
ARS
1 - 3
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |