Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1913 |
SUN
4 - 0
CHL
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1913 |
OLD
3 - 2
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
SHE
3 - 3
CHL
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
BOL
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1913 |
ARS
0 - 0
OLD
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1913 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1913 |
ARS
1 - 3
SHE
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
BOL
5 - 1
ARS
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
SUN
4 - 1
ARS
85%
10%
6%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |