Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1910 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
45%
23%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
2 - 2
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
CHL
1 - 4
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1910 |
SHE
0 - 0
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 1
SHW
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARS
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
37%
24%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |