Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
LEI
5 - 2
CHL
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1908 |
CHL
3 - 3
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1908 |
MUD
0 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 1
BRA
73%
15%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
BBU
2 - 0
CHL
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 4
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1908 |
NTT
0 - 1
ARS
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1908 |
SHE
1 - 1
ARS
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
ARS
4 - 0
BCF
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |