Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-2
Chelsea vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 1
IPS
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
COV
0 - 1
CHL
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ARI
1 - 1
CHL
24%
23%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 2
WOL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
LEE
1 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ARI
1 - 1
CHL
24%
23%
52%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
CAG
3 - 0
ARI
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
ARI
1 - 1
CAG
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
UJP
9 - 1
ARI
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
ARI
1 - 2
UJP
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |