EFL Cup 1/32
Global 2-0
Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
CHL
1 - 2
BBU
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
CHL
4 - 2
VIZ
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
NEW
4 - 2
CHL
60%
21%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
CHL
3 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
LEE
2 - 3
CHL
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHE
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
LEY
3 - 2
BOU
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1994 |
NOR
0 - 1
BOU
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
BOU
1 - 4
YOR
43%
29%
28%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
BOU
0 - 3
POS
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |