Chelmsford City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CHM
1 - 0
BAT
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
CON
1 - 3
CHM
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
CHM
3 - 0
BRA
50%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BIL
0 - 0
CHM
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CHM
1 - 2
CHE
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 3
STA
19%
24%
58%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
DUL
0 - 1
WEL
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
MAI
4 - 1
WEL
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
DOR
3 - 1
WEL
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
WEL
0 - 2
EAS
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |