Chelmsford City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HAV
1 - 1
CHM
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CHM
2 - 3
WOK
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 1
CHM
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHM
2 - 3
SAL
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CHM
1 - 0
EAS
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 0
WEL
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
WEL
0 - 0
SUT
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 2
WEL
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 2
WEL
26%
24%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |