Chelmsford City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 1
CHM
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHM
1 - 0
HAM
68%
18%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
CHM
23%
24%
54%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
CHM
3 - 2
WES
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHM
3 - 1
HAV
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
WEL
2 - 0
WES
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
WEL
2 - 1
BRO
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
STA
4 - 2
WEL
21%
24%
56%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DOV
0 - 1
WEL
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
WEL
3 - 1
HAV
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |