Chelmsford City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
BIS
2 - 2
CHM
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 2
CHM
17%
23%
61%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
CHM
2 - 2
DOV
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHM
4 - 0
LEW
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
HAM
3 - 0
CHM
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 1
EBB
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 4
WEL
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 2
DOR
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BIS
0 - 4
WEL
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 1
BRO
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |