Chelmsford City vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
10%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
EBB
2 - 0
CHM
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 1
CHM
45%
24%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CHM
1 - 0
WHI
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 3
CHM
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CHM
4 - 0
BIS
85%
11%
5%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WHI
3 - 2
OXF
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
WES
4 - 2
WHI
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 2
WES
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EAS
5 - 1
WHI
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
WHI
0 - 1
FOR
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -2 |