Chelmsford City vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
EBB
2 - 1
CHM
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
CHM
1 - 4
EBB
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CHM
3 - 1
HAM
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CHM
2 - 0
BRO
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
EBB
1 - 3
CHM
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WHI
3 - 2
WEY
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 3
WHI
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
WHI
3 - 1
LEA
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
WHI
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WHI
7 - 2
SWI
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |