Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HEM
2 - 2
CHM
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 2
HUN
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 0
CHM
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
DAR
2 - 1
CHM
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 1
EAS
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 0
TON
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TON
1 - 0
WEL
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HEM
4 - 3
TON
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TON
2 - 0
CHI
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
TON
36%
27%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |