Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 4
CHM
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
DUL
0 - 0
CHM
44%
23%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHM
1 - 0
MAI
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 1
CHM
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CHM
1 - 1
OXF
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TON
0 - 7
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TON
5 - 0
TAU
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
OXF
4 - 0
TON
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
TON
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TON
0 - 2
HUN
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |