Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WES
1 - 2
CHM
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
CHM
24%
24%
53%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HAM
0 - 4
CHM
24%
24%
51%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CHM
2 - 3
DOV
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 3
CHM
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TON
3 - 1
SAL
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
THU
0 - 0
TON
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TON
1 - 5
FAR
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
TON
3 - 6
WOK
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DOV
0 - 0
TON
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |