Chelmsford City vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 1
HAV
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 0
CHM
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
TON
0 - 4
CHM
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 1
BIL
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CHM
6 - 2
HAY
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
SUT
3 - 2
BAS
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 0
EAS
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 1
WEL
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
SUT
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 1
EAS
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |