Chelmsford City vs St. Albans City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CHM
2 - 1
WHI
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
WEA
4 - 2
CHM
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
WES
3 - 1
CHM
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
CHM
6 - 2
FAR
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
EBB
0 - 2
CHM
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 1
STA
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
STA
2 - 0
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
STA
0 - 2
BOR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
STA
2 - 1
GOS
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
HEM
3 - 1
STA
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |