Chelmsford City vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CHM
2 - 1
HEM
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
CHM
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BIL
1 - 1
CHM
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CHM
4 - 1
BRA
61%
21%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 1
CHM
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
EAS
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 2
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
YAT
2 - 4
SAL
17%
18%
65%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SAL
3 - 1
WIM
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 1
POO
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |