Chelmsford City vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GAT
2 - 0
CHM
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 2
CHM
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CHM
1 - 0
DAR
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
CHM
1 - 0
BAT
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
CHM
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
OXF
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 1
CON
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HEM
2 - 0
OXF
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 0
BOG
40%
24%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
2 - 3
POO
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |