Chelmsford City vs Hungerford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 6
OXF
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 2
DOR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SLO
2 - 1
CHM
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CHM
1 - 1
DUL
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
TON
1 - 2
CHM
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hungerford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HUN
0 - 1
EAS
48%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 3
HUN
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HUN
0 - 2
HAM
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
HUN
70%
18%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
HUN
78%
14%
7%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |