Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
BAT
2 - 1
CHM
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CHM
1 - 1
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CHM
0 - 0
MAI
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EAS
2 - 1
CHM
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
2 - 2
CHM
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hemel Hempstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
HEM
3 - 4
BOR
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
WES
1 - 1
HEM
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HEM
3 - 0
WHI
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
0 - 1
HEM
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HEM
4 - 1
SLO
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +4 |