Chelmsford City vs Havant & Waterlooville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 0
CHM
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
TON
0 - 4
CHM
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 1
BIL
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CHM
6 - 2
HAY
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
CHM
4 - 0
DOR
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 0
HAV
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 1
HAV
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
HAV
4 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DOR
0 - 0
HAV
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
HAV
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |