Chelmsford City vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
CHM
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHM
4 - 2
EAS
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHM
2 - 1
BRO
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 2
CHM
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TIL
0 - 2
CHM
8%
15%
77%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FAR
4 - 1
ENF
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 0
AVE
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HEM
3 - 3
FAR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
FAR
35%
22%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FAR
3 - 1
SAL
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |