Chelmsford City vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
EBB
0 - 2
CHM
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
STA
3 - 5
CHM
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CHM
1 - 5
EBB
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
HAY
2 - 1
CHM
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CHM
3 - 2
EAS
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
FAR
2 - 0
WHI
26%
23%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 1
MAI
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
WES
1 - 3
FAR
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
WES
4 - 3
FAR
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CON
7 - 0
FAR
71%
17%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |