Chelmsford City vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
HAV
3 - 0
CHM
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CHM
0 - 4
DOV
24%
24%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 2
STA
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
BRO
5 - 0
CHM
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CHM
0 - 6
BOR
50%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
CON
5 - 0
FAR
53%
22%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
GOS
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 2
STA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
STA
2 - 2
FAR
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 0
FAR
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |