Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHM
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
4 - 2
CHM
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHM
0 - 4
OXF
33%
23%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
EBB
1 - 2
CHM
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHM
0 - 0
EBB
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GOS
1 - 2
EBB
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
EBB
0 - 1
MAI
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
EBB
1 - 2
CHM
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHM
0 - 0
EBB
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
EBB
2 - 1
WES
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |