Chelmsford City vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
CHM
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 1
CHM
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CHM
0 - 0
BOR
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
CHM
2 - 2
TON
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WES
1 - 2
CHM
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 0
WEL
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 0
EAS
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
EAS
2 - 1
STA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
SUT
2 - 0
EAS
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 1
HAM
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |