Chelmsford City vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CHM
1 - 1
WES
75%
15%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
HAM
1 - 1
CHM
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CHM
0 - 0
BOG
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
CON
0 - 2
CHM
19%
23%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CHM
2 - 0
WHI
81%
13%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
OXF
3 - 3
EAS
18%
20%
62%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 1
WEA
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 1
EAS
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 0
BOG
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 2
EAS
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |