Chelmsford City vs Dorchester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EAS
4 - 2
CHM
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 0
CHM
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CHM
3 - 1
BRO
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SUT
2 - 0
CHM
69%
18%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CHM
0 - 3
MAI
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
DOR
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
BIS
1 - 1
DOR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DOR
1 - 4
BOR
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
DOR
1 - 1
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TON
1 - 2
DOR
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |