Chelmsford City vs Dorchester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 3
CHM
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
CHM
3 - 0
EAS
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
CHM
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 1
CHM
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CHM
0 - 0
BOR
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
BAS
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
3 - 1
TON
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
HAV
4 - 2
DOR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 1
BOR
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 2
DOR
73%
18%
9%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |