Chelmsford City vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SLO
1 - 0
CHM
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 0
HAM
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BIL
0 - 1
CHM
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
CHM
2 - 1
HEM
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CHM
5 - 1
BIL
31%
24%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
3 - 2
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
WEA
1 - 1
DAR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 0
WEL
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 2
DAR
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
WEL
2 - 0
DAR
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |