Chelmsford City vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHM
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WEL
3 - 2
CHM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CHM
3 - 0
EAS
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
CHM
3 - 0
WOK
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 3
CHM
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 1
EBB
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
DAR
3 - 0
BIS
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
DAR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
HAM
1 - 0
DAR
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DAR
2 - 2
HAV
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |