Chelmsford City vs Concord Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
WHI
2 - 0
CHM
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HUN
1 - 1
CHM
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
OXF
2 - 0
CHM
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
WES
0 - 1
CHM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CHM
3 - 3
HEM
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 4
EAS
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
WHI
2 - 0
CON
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 2
CON
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 2
STA
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CON
0 - 2
WEL
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |